Property derivatives and the hedging fallacy
Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing
“Asset Pricing: Realized Return as a Sample of Return” –... Fallacy Mohammad Ali Tareq
to fixed income, or to any asset in a risk parity portfolio, is “excessive,” it must be the case that either they disagree with the risk model behind the. Arbitrage pricing theory, ARCH models, Beta, Capital asset pricing. model, Conditional distributions based on a subtle mathematical fallacy. This paper seeks to analyse and propose alternative procedures to estimate the cost of equity through the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the context. However, through the uncontroversial notion of Capital Budgeting it will be illustrated the efficient pricing of value creation/destruction. Diversification is so easy on the listed equity market that it has led to a pricing paradigm, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which states that only.
The Sunk Cost Fallacy describes our tendency to follow through on an endeavor if we have already invested time, effort, or money into it, whether or not the current costs outweigh the benefits. You know that traffic will be worse because of the rain and that you risk getting sicker by going to the concert. Although it seems as though the current drawbacks outweigh the benefits, why are you still likely to choose to go to the concert? This is known as the sunk cost fallacy. We are likely to continue an endeavor if we have already invested in it, whether it be a monetary investment or the effort that we put into the decision. That often means we go against evidence that shows it is no longer the best decision, such as sickness or weather affecting the event. In economic terms, sunk costs are costs that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered. It therefore should not be a factor in our current decision-making, because it is irrational to use irrecoverable costs as a rationale for making a present decision. If we acted rationally, only future costs and benefits would be taken into account, because regardless of what we have already invested, we will not get it back whether or not we follow through on the decision. The sunk cost fallacy means that we are making irrational decisions because we are factoring in influences other than the current alternatives. The fallacy affects many different areas of our lives leading to suboptimal outcomes. The sunk cost fallacy not only has an impact on small day-to-day decisions like attending a concert. It also has been proven to impact the decisions that governments and companies make. A famous example of the sunk cost fallacy impacting large-scale decisions was coined the Concorde fallacy.
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